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The China Factor: Why U.S. Manufacturing Independence Matters Now

America's manufacturing dependence on China poses serious national security risks. Here's what's being done about it and how your business can benefit.

KDM & Associates
December 22, 2025
11 min read
ChinaManufacturingNational SecuritySupply ChainReshoring

The United States faces a manufacturing dependency crisis that threatens both national security and economic prosperity. China's dominance in critical manufacturing sectors—from rare earth minerals to electronics to pharmaceuticals—has created vulnerabilities that adversaries could exploit in a conflict. Understanding this challenge is essential for any manufacturer seeking to participate in the defense industrial base.


The Scope of the Problem


China's Manufacturing Dominance

China accounts for approximately:

  • 28.7% — of global manufacturing output (vs. 16.8% for the U.S.)
  • 90% — of rare earth element processing
  • 75% — of lithium-ion battery cell production
  • 80% — of solar panel manufacturing
  • 60% — of global shipbuilding
  • 50% — of global steel production
  • Significant shares — of pharmaceutical ingredients, electronics, and textiles

  • Defense-Specific Vulnerabilities

    A 2025 DoD report identified over 250 critical defense items with single or sole-source dependencies on Chinese suppliers. These include:

  • Microelectronics and semiconductors
  • Rare earth magnets for precision-guided munitions
  • Propellants and energetic materials
  • Printed circuit boards
  • Specialty chemicals
  • Certain castings and forgings

  • The Taiwan Scenario

    Taiwan produces over 60% of the world's advanced semiconductors through TSMC. A Chinese invasion or blockade of Taiwan would:

  • Immediately disrupt global electronics supply chains
  • Halt production of advanced weapons systems
  • Impact virtually every sector of the U.S. economy
  • Create a national security crisis of unprecedented proportions

  • The U.S. Response


    Legislative Action

    Congress has passed landmark legislation to address manufacturing dependence:


    CHIPS and Science Act (2022)

  • $52 billion for domestic semiconductor manufacturing
  • $13 billion for R&D and workforce development
  • Tax credits for chip fabrication facilities

  • Inflation Reduction Act (2022)

  • $369 billion for clean energy manufacturing
  • Tax credits for domestic production
  • Requirements for domestic content in clean energy projects

  • National Defense Authorization Act (Annual)

  • Expanded Buy American requirements
  • Funding for defense manufacturing modernization
  • Critical minerals stockpiling provisions

  • Executive Action

    Multiple executive orders have strengthened domestic manufacturing requirements:

  • Supply chain review and resilience mandates
  • Critical minerals sourcing requirements
  • Domestic preference in federal procurement
  • Technology export controls on China

  • DoD Initiatives

    The Department of Defense is actively investing in domestic manufacturing:

  • Defense Production Act (DPA) Title III — Funding for critical manufacturing
  • Industrial Base Analysis and Sustainment (IBAS) — Supply chain mapping and investment
  • Manufacturing Technology (ManTech) Program — Advanced manufacturing R&D
  • Trusted Foundry Program — Secure microelectronics production

  • Opportunities for Small Manufacturers


    The push for manufacturing independence is creating specific opportunities:


    1. Substitute Supplier Programs

    DoD is actively seeking domestic alternatives for Chinese-sourced items. If you can manufacture components currently sourced from China, there's a buyer waiting.


    2. Critical Minerals Processing

    The U.S. is investing billions in domestic minerals processing. Opportunities exist in:

  • Rare earth separation and refining
  • Battery materials processing
  • Recycling and reclamation
  • Mining equipment and services

  • 3. Electronics Manufacturing

    Reshoring of electronics production creates demand for:

  • Printed circuit board fabrication
  • Electronic component manufacturing
  • Assembly and testing services
  • Packaging and interconnect technology

  • 4. Pharmaceutical and Chemical Manufacturing

    Domestic production of pharmaceutical ingredients and specialty chemicals is a national priority.


    5. Advanced Materials

    Development and production of advanced materials for defense applications:

  • High-performance alloys
  • Composite materials
  • Ceramic and glass components
  • Specialty coatings

  • How to Position Your Business


    Step 1: Identify Your China-Replacement Opportunity

    Research which products in your capability area are currently sourced from China. Resources include:

  • Federal Procurement Data System (FPDS)
  • DoD supply chain vulnerability reports
  • Industry association publications
  • Prime contractor supplier diversity portals

  • Step 2: Demonstrate Domestic Capability

    Invest in the equipment, certifications, and workforce needed to produce these items domestically. Emphasize:

  • Made-in-America supply chain
  • Quality certifications (AS9100D, ISO 9001)
  • CMMC compliance
  • ITAR registration (if applicable)

  • Step 3: Engage with Government Programs

    Connect with programs designed to support domestic manufacturing:

  • Manufacturing Extension Partnership (MEP)
  • Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) supplier outreach
  • SBA programs for small manufacturers
  • State economic development agencies

  • Step 4: Build Strategic Partnerships

    Partner with other domestic manufacturers to offer complete solutions:

  • Joint ventures for larger opportunities
  • Teaming arrangements with complementary capabilities
  • Mentor-protégé relationships with prime contractors

  • Conclusion


    The era of unchecked manufacturing dependence on China is ending. The U.S. government is investing hundreds of billions of dollars to rebuild domestic manufacturing capacity, and small manufacturers are essential to this effort. The companies that position themselves now to fill the gaps left by Chinese suppliers will be the winners in this historic industrial transformation.



    Ready to Take the Next Step?

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    Join the KDM Consortium Platform today:

    Schedule a free introductory session to learn how we can accelerate your path to government contracting success.


    Whether you're a small manufacturer seeking defense contracts, a government buyer looking for qualified suppliers, or a business owner pursuing CMMC certification, KDM & Associates and the V+KDM Consortium are here to help.


    Join the KDM Consortium Platform today:


  • [Register as a Supplier (SME)](/register?type=sme) — Get matched with government contract opportunities, access capacity-building resources, and connect with prime contractors.
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  • *Schedule a free introductory session to learn how we can accelerate your path to government contracting success.*


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